Perhaps I should have said “Probability” or “Eventuality”. The U.S. power grid is in terrible shape. It’s vulnerable to a terrorist attack.
“an attack last year on a Pacific Gas & Electric substation near San Jose has heightened concern about security. Using simple assault rifles, two attackers caused millions of dollars in damage and almost knocked out power to Silicon Valley. Nearly a year later, the FBI has yet to make any arrests.” (LA Times)
Two guys with ARs caused significant damage to the grid that feeds Silicon Valley with one simple attack. More worrying is the vulnerability of the national grid to a larger coordinated attack:
“Nerves were further rattled when the Wall Street Journal reported on a confidential report circulated at the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission that said attackers would need to knock out just nine electricity substations — the newspaper did not reveal which ones — to trigger a nationwide blackout.” (LA Times)
The Wall Street Journal article also said that if those 9 substations were knocked out, it would take up to 18 months for the nation to completely recover from the blackout. Think about that for a moment. Superstorm Sandy knocked out power for a couple of weeks. This disrupted transportation, since gas stations need power. It disrupted food distribution, since grocery stores need electricity for coolers, freezers, lights, and cash registers. Water distribution requires pumps that run on electricity. And in winter, no power means that many persons would be in danger of freezing to death. Many modern houses in colder parts of the nation have no fireplaces. So up to 18 months without power means that many persons would die, they would lack water, food, and warmth.
How can we prepare? Here are my brief suggestions:
* food storage
* gardening supplies and seeds
* water purification equipment
* winter sleeping bags (rated sub-20 degrees or better)
* indoor tent for additional warmth
* modern wood stove for heat and cooking
* firearms to defend your home and family (people will be desperate)